Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.422708 0.490696 0.565559 0.654033 0.755662 0.868673 1.003804
2025-05-04 0.316929 0.410696 0.525035 0.674348 0.863806 1.095792 1.401013
2025-05-11 0.254773 0.357384 0.491997 0.680732 0.937645 1.274194 1.747455
2025-05-18 0.210314 0.314957 0.460738 0.677359 0.989558 1.421452 2.062169
2025-05-25 0.176184 0.279437 0.431047 0.668026 1.026896 1.547258 2.355532
2025-06-01 0.150961 0.252163 0.407959 0.662778 1.066083 1.675820 2.662247
2025-06-08 0.127362 0.223300 0.377649 0.640967 1.075097 1.757196 2.902715
2025-06-15 0.119999 0.219593 0.386174 0.681078 1.184986 2.003760 3.424265
2025-06-22 0.103093 0.196906 0.360017 0.659608 1.189990 2.080847 3.676726
2025-06-29 0.089150 0.177370 0.336518 0.639221 1.193370 2.153712 3.926675
2025-07-06 0.078010 0.161373 0.317135 0.623389 1.202109 2.235074 4.196983
2025-07-13 0.071701 0.153774 0.312184 0.633311 1.258088 2.403835 4.637141
2025-07-20 0.068576 0.152339 0.319197 0.667640 1.364960 2.677574 5.300890
2025-07-27 0.064023 0.147348 0.318676 0.687240 1.445899 2.911596 5.914519
2025-08-03 0.058703 0.139906 0.312161 0.693690 1.501011 3.100861 6.459001
2025-08-10 0.053155 0.131113 0.301628 0.690253 1.535060 3.251173 6.939232
2025-08-17 0.047785 0.121923 0.289041 0.680751 1.555015 3.374404 7.375177
2025-08-24 0.043351 0.114295 0.278934 0.675407 1.583032 3.516157 7.861507
2025-08-31 0.038293 0.104376 0.262320 0.653199 1.571190 3.572527 8.171591
2025-09-07 0.037704 0.105692 0.272261 0.694041 1.706030 3.955695 9.221433
2025-09-14 0.033489 0.096920 0.256766 0.672180 1.693337 4.013898 9.559516
2025-09-21 0.029812 0.089030 0.242442 0.651420 1.680846 4.070953 9.899398
2025-09-28 0.026769 0.082427 0.230546 0.635300 1.677729 4.148775 10.293302